ELDER PATRIOT – “We’re seeing something remarkable happening in this Republican primary.” Right now, the Washington establishment is abandoning Marco Rubio, they’ve made the assessment that Marco can’t win this race, and the Washington establishment is rushing over to support Donald Trump. We’re seeing that happen every day, and Mr. Trump is welcoming that support.” – Ted Cruz reported by National Review’s Eliana Johnson
If Cruz actually said this it’s hard to find the evidence upon which he is basing such a claim. An analysis of the polling numbers over the past 30 days just does not support Cruz’s assertion. Here are the actual polling numbers for the past 30 days:
Cruz is trying to paint himself as the conservative in the race against Trump for the Republican nomination but his contention that moderate establishment Republicans are coalescing around Trump just isn’t borne out by the numbers.
Both Trump and Cruz have benefitted slightly from Ben Carson’s loss of support. There is little evidence to suggest anything else is taking place. If Trump, Cruz, Carson, Carly Fiorina and Rand Paul represent the anti-establishment candidates in this race their combined support has increased by a mere 0.7% over the past thirty days from 66.3% to 67.0% according to the Real Clear Politics averaging of all of the polls.
It would seem that Democratic Pollster Pat Caddell correctly surmised that there is a Republican insurgency among two-thirds of the rank and file who have already decided to throw the establishment overboard and are now just jockeying between the candidates that they think they might be able to trust.
This has been a difficult week for Senator Cruz. He’s desperately trying to maintain the momentum he’s experienced over the past three months but hasn’t helped himself by being absent from voting on Rand Paul’s Audit the Fed bill, Sarah Palin’s endorsement of Trump, and now this unfounded claim that Trump is suddenly the establishment’s candidate.
Senator Cruz, Donald Trump isn’t your problem, your inability to be heard above the crowd while serving as senator is your problem. That is something Donald Trump apparently has had little trouble with.