ELDER PATRIOT – Gallup, the long recognized gold standard of polling organization, has announced it will not be involved in trying to predict the presidential primaries or the general election.
Gallup editor-in-chief Frank Newport conceded that this could hurt other aspects of their business. Clients have long valued election results as the singular way to objectively gage the accuracy of a polling company’s results.
Something is amiss. In the 2012 presidential election, Gallup misidentified the winner when their polling proved to be off by just 4.9 points.
An extensive review aimed at examining every aspect of its methodology led Gallup to conclude that their methodology was correct. They re-tested it against the 2014 congressional midterms the results of which they haven’t made public. Instead of being satisfied that their methodology was correct or continuing to tinker to make it correct, Gallup walked away.
What could force the industry leader, the acknowledged gold standard of their industry to simply give up?
President Obama and his team of jack-booted fascists is a good place to start.
After Gallup released a poll that Obama didn’t like during the 2012 presidential campaign, Obama very openly attacked Gallup. The last thing a rising dictator of a democratic republic wants is polls that confirm the public doesn’t approve of him, or of his policies.
This tactic is reminiscent of Obama’s pre-emptive attacks on Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts prior to Roberts’ decision on the constitutionality of the Affordable Healthcare Act. Roberts felt forced to take the unprecedented step of re-writing parts of the legislation in order to make his twisted affirmation of it even the least bit consistent with the Constitution. During the lead-up to Roberts’ announcement, Gallup disclosed lop-sided polling against Obamacare.
In that case, there was no escape for Roberts. Gallup was left with two choices. They could defend their methodology but that would then call the election results into question. Or, they could walk away from an important aspect of their business.
By walking away Gallup has still called the election results into question. Whether or not the 2012 election results were “fixed” may never be proven but Republican acquiescence on virtually every item of President Obama’s agenda leads one to believe that something sinister is forcing all of these unlikely decisions.