ROMNEY WORDSWORTH – Last night Donald Trump won the state of Indiana, making it his 7th state in a row with a victory margin of over 50% of the vote total. In a surprise move, Ted Cruz announced in his concession speech that he is suspending his campaign. The Republican Primary Race is over. Donald J. Trump has won and will be the party’s nominee in the General Election.
Trump’s delegate count jumped up to 1050 with Trump garnering all 54 of the available delegates, the RNC holding back 3 for itself. Trump won decisively in all age groups and with men as well as women. Trump even beat Cruz with the Evangelical Christian vote. With Cruz dropping out of the race, Donald Trump has an easy glide path to picking up the rest of the delegates he needs, and then some. Even before Cruz dropped out of the race, Trump was polling well ahead of Cruz in West Virginia (61% to 22%) and in California (51% to 24%). With no real competition to face, Trump may easily go to Cleveland with 1400-1500 delegates.
John Kasich still refuses to leave the race, but his campaign seems now to be more about crossing the country to stuff his face at various dining establishments than to become the party’s nominee. Are there no good diners in Ohio? At least he isn’t (yet) barricading himself in a room holding a confetti cannon to his head making demands and saying: “Or else the mailman gets it.” But his “candidacy” has become that silly.
Over on the Democrat side, Hillary Clinton suffered another humiliating defeat, losing Indiana to Bernie Sanders 53% to 48%. The tables have now suddenly turned, and it is Bernie Sanders who is credibly promising a “contested convention” in Philadelphia for the Democrats. Meanwhile, Donald Trump has sewn up the nomination nearly a full month before Mitt Romney did (May 29th), giving the Republicans an extra two months before their convention in Cleveland to heal divisions and unify to campaign against Clinton in the general election.
Donald Trump is already doing better in that department than his predecessors. A recent national poll has Trump beating Clinton by 3 points. While that doesn’t sound like much, consider that traditionally even Republicans who eventually won the Presidency were polling behind their Democrat adversary by double digits at this point in the race. Ronald Reagan was behind Walter Mondale in the polls just 4 weeks before Election Day. Reagan ending up winning in a 49 state landslide. For Hillary Clinton to already be polling behind a Republican this early is a strong measure indeed for just how anemic support is this year for the Democrat front runner.