ROMNEY WORDSWORTH – It is Wednesday, January 13, 2016, and you know what that means: It’s Trumpday! Let’s get started.
We are about 3 weeks away from the first primary ballots to be cast in Iowa on February 1st. New Hampshire follows ten days later, and then Nevada and South Carolina round out the February early primary states. As we roll in to primary season, Donald Trump continues to soar high in the polls, polling with a percentage of the voting public equaling his closest three rivals combined!
RealClearPolitics polling averages tell the tale:
Trump has retaken the lead in Iowa from Ted Cruz, although that lead is within the margin of error. Trump’s lead in New Hampshire is rock solid, being up 18 points over his closest competition. Trump is also expected to win in Nevada, owing to the “Las Vegas” effect (casino and celebrity connections). A Gravis poll taken on December 30th had Trump up by 13 points in Nevada. Trump was up a similar 15 points in South Carolina as of the last poll taken by CBS News on December 20th.
On the Democrat side, Clinton’s numbers have collapsed in Iowa and New Hampshire, and Bernie Sanders has pulled to within 4 points of Clinton nationally. Clinton losing the first two elections in Iowa and New Hampshire is now being discussed as a very real possibility, as panic grips the Clinton campaign machine.
What is the cause of that collapse in poll numbers? It is probably not due to one single factor, but a combination of factors:
1) Clinton’s unlikeability. She exudes all the warmth and spontaneity of a robot. Her campaign appearances are heavily pre-scripted with no real emotion.
2) Mounting Corruption Scandals. The steady drip, drip, drip of email-gate continues. FoxNews Catherine Herridge and Pamela Browne are reporting that the FBI investigation is widening:
“The agents are investigating the possible intersection of Clinton Foundation donations, the dispensation of State Department contracts and whether regular processes were followed,” one law enforcement source told Fox.
Translation: Clinton’s emails are revealing an ongoing pattern of selling influence, or future influence if she becomes president, borne out by the inordinate donations of foreign governments to the Clinton Foundation, and sudden policy changes made by the State Department while she was Secretary of State after payments were made to the Clinton Foundation. This was the real reason Clinton used a private email server.
The sex assault scandals of Bill Clinton have resurfaced, and this time it seems they are sticking. Bill Clinton performed poorly to crowds in New Hampshire, with women behind him on the podium visibly rolling their eyes and looking bored. Hillary has had to retreat from the campaign theme of a “war on women”, recently declining to answer reporter questions about women involved in sex scandals. As millennial voters who weren’t born in the 1990’s find out more about how Hillary attacked and threatened Bill’s victims, support for Hillary continues to deflate faster than Bill’s….oh, nevermind.
It doesn’t help that a full two-thirds of the electorate view Clinton as untrustworthy and dishonest. I also suspect that the horror and chaos being sown in Europe by the “Rapefugees” rebounds, at least in part, back to Clinton’s failures in Libya and Syria. Recent emails released from the State Department show that Clinton acted to oust Gaddafi from Libya at the behest of the French, who wanted Libyan oil, and Libyan gold reserves, for themselves.
Trump now leads Clinton by anywhere from one to five points in head to head match ups nationally. Clinton is losing control of the Democrat voter coalition, as Trump makes big inroads into traditional Democrat voter strongholds. A full 20% of Democrats say they will vote for Trump. These are the white, working class voters who have seen their jobs shipped overseas under Obama’s tenure. Among this group are the United Auto Workers.
Most surprising, it looks like Clinton is set to lose a substantial portion of the Black Vote, something that has not happened to a Democrat candidate since Lyndon Johnson created the Great Society coalition.
Donald Trump has been endorsed by Nation of Islam leader Louis Farrakhan—ensuring Trump will get a larger share of the black vote than any Republican since Reconstruction. On the subject of vetting Muslim immigrants, Farrakhan said in an interview with Alex Jones that: “Trump is right. Trump is wise.”
The NAACP in Virginia wants to organize the State for Trump. The reason? “Trump means jobs.”
Trump is even making inroads in the Democrat Bastion of Hollywood, picking up endorsements from black celebrities Dennis Rodman, former Eagles Wide Receiver Terrell Owens, and Mike Tyson. Why does this matter? Because the Left tried to turn Donald Trump into a walking Confederate Flag, they tried to smear him as “racist”, and with that, they hoped to permanently marginalize him. They failed. Trump has picked up other celebrity endorsements such as Wayne Newton, Ted Nugent, Sylvester Stallone, Mike Ditka, his ex-wife Ivana Trump, Charlie Sheen, Jessie Ventura, Gary Busey, Willie Robertson of Duck Dynasty, Tila Tequila, model and reality TV star, Hulk Hogan, Lou Ferrigno, and Steven Baldwin.
While this list of largely B List celebs won’t be a decisive factor in winning Trump the Presidency, it does give testament to the fact that the Left’s smear campaign to make Trump radioactive and therefore untouchable in polite society has failed.
Endorsements that may very will translate into an energized conservative base turning out at the polls for Trump are his endorsements from Phyllis Schlafly, Alex Jones, and lavish praise by Rush Limbaugh. Trump’s credentials were also recently burnished by the semi-endorsement of Vladimir Putin.
Art Laffer, noted economist and inventor of the Laffer Curve analysis of taxation, predicts a 47 state sweep for the Republicans this year, regardless of who their nominee is. This is turning out to be a movement election where a groundswell of the American People will turn out to shout: “NO!” to the current trajectory that Washington Officialdom has the country on, a direction that three fourths of voters say is the wrong direction.