The theory goes that, as candidates drop out, none of those voters will go to Trump and he won’t be able to get more than 50 percent of the GOP vote.
However, a new YouGov/Economist poll seems to put the lie to that theory: For the first time in that poll, Trump’s support has risen above 50 percent.
In the March 10-12 poll published on Tuesday, Trump’s support has hit 53 percent, followed by Texas Sen. Ted Cruz at 24 percent. Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and Ohio Gov. John Kasich were fighting it out for last place, with 11 and 10 percent, respectively.
The YouGov/Economist poll was conducted online out of 2,000 selected respondents and had a margin of error of ±2.9 percent.
Even with Rubio’s decision to drop out after another bleak Tuesday night, the numbers wouldn’t be shaken up too significantly.
“What separates Trump voters from those supporting other candidates is the importance of the issue of immigration,” YouGov’s Kathy Frankovic wrote.
“While Republican voters generally think the economy is the country’s most important issue, no matter whether they are for or against Trump, Trump’s supporters are nearly five times as likely as supporters of other candidates to say immigration is the issue that matters most to them.”
That wasn’t the only good news for Trump in the poll.
Trump got 59 percent each in three categories: whether he cared about people like those being polled, whether he cared more about the country than himself, and whether he was ready to be the commander in chief.
While Trump’s performance on Tuesday in several key states may have been the big news for him, this poll may be the biggest news of all. Like it or not, the Trump train shows no sign of stopping soon, no matter who drops out.